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25-4230·CRIMINAL

United States v. Idrissa Bagayoko

Status
  1. Scheduled
  2. Argued (current)
  3. Opinion Issued
Question Presented

Whether traffic stop was unnecessarily prolonged; whether individual bottles of pesticide in one box constituted a "single package" under Hazardous Materials Transportation Act.

Argument Date
September 17, 2026
Argument Time
8:30 a.m.
Panel
II
Courtroom
Butzner Courtroom (Room 201)
Lower Court Judge
Bennett

Panel

Judge Niemeyer
Judge Gregory
Judge Richardson

Citation

CaseUnited States v. Idrissa Bagayoko, No. 25-4230 (4th Cir. argued Sept. 17, 2026)
PanelNiemeyer, Gregory & Richardson, JJ.

Arguing Counsel

Panel That Day

1 of 4 cases argued September 17, 2026 before this panel have been decided.

Authorship Outlook

3 opinions remain pending on this panel day. The remaining opinions could come from any panelist who hasn't already been credited with a sibling.

1 of the 4 opinions from this panel has been decided.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 11, 2026 and June 6, 2027, with December 29, 2026 the most likely date.

Argued 41 days ago. Comparable cases at this stage almost always still pending — there's no useful tightening yet.

■ ■ □Calibrated (438 prior subject cases + 15 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →

Oral Argument Audio