United States v. Markel Smith
- Scheduled
- Argued (current)
- Opinion Issued
Whether 18 U.S.C. § 922(o) is constitutional and whether USSG § 2K2.1(b)(4)(B)(i) applies when one of three serial numbers on firearm remains legible.
Panel
Citation
Arguing Counsel
Panel That Day
3 of 4 cases argued March 20, 2026 before this panel have been decided.
With the 3 decided siblings already credited to Judge Agee and Judge Gregory, the remaining opinion is most likely Judge Benjamin's — they wrote at least one opinion in 33 of their 53 prior multi-case days.
3 of the 4 opinions from this panel have been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Agee and Judge Gregory.
This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.
Predicted Opinion Release
Likely between November 6, 2026 and October 11, 2027, with January 6, 2027 the most likely date.
Argued 222 days ago. About 82% of comparable cases would have an opinion by now — this one is trending late.
80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →