Kalshiex LLC v. John Martin
- Scheduled
- Argued (current)
- Opinion Issued
Whether the Commodity Exchange Act preempts application of Maryland gambling laws to exchange-traded sports event contracts.
Panel
Citation
Arguing Counsel
Panel That Day
0 of 3 cases argued May 7, 2026 before this panel have been decided.
No opinions from this panel have been decided yet, so authorship can't be narrowed — the 3 pending opinions could come from any of the panelists.
This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.
Predicted Opinion Release
Likely between November 5, 2026 and August 6, 2027, with December 24, 2026 the most likely date.
Argued 174 days ago. About 81% of comparable cases would have an opinion by now — this one is trending late.
80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →