Of the panelists who haven't yet been credited with a decided sibling, Chief Judge Diaz has the strongest track record — they wrote at least one opinion in 102 of their 121 prior multi-case days — so they're the best guess for this one.

2 of the 3 opinions from this panel have been decided.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 6, 2026 and October 24, 2027, with January 4, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 273 days ago. About 89% of comparable cases would have an opinion by now — this one is trending late.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 3 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →