With the 2 decided siblings already credited to Judge Gibney*, Judge Benjamin and Judge Berner are the remaining candidates — and their records are too close to call (33 of 53 vs. 23 of 39 prior multi-case days with at least one opinion).

2 of the 3 opinions from this panel have been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Gibney*.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 9, 2026 and January 19, 2028, with January 22, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 323 days ago. About 87% of comparable cases would have an opinion by now — this one is trending late.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 3 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →