Between the uncredited panelists, Judge Heytens and Judge Gregory are a coin flip — 70 of 87 vs. 92 of 119 prior multi-case days with at least one opinion.

2 of the 3 opinions from this panel have been decided.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 8, 2026 and December 9, 2027, with January 17, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 272 days ago. About 86% of comparable cases would have an opinion by now — this one is trending late.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 6 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →