With the decided sibling already credited to Judge Benjamin, the remaining opinion is most likely Judge Heytens's — they wrote at least one opinion in 70 of their 87 prior multi-case days.

1 of the 2 opinions from this panel has been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Benjamin.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 9, 2026 and March 23, 2028, with January 30, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 412 days ago. The case has now outlasted nearly every comparable prior case (96% of mass consumed); a separate writing or a contentious majority is likely in progress.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 2 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →