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24-1454·CIVIL

Lai Lau v. Bin Ke

Status
  1. Scheduled
  2. Argued (current)
  3. Opinion Issued
Question Presented

Whether court erred in allowing deliberation on breach of contract claim that was materially different than claim set forth in counseled complaint; other issues.

Argument Date
January 29, 2026
Argument Time
9:30 a.m.
Panel
IV
Courtroom
Gold Courtroom (Room 348)
Lower Court Judge
Davis

Panel

Judge Agee
Judge Thacker
Judge Quattlebaum

Citation

CaseLai Lau v. Bin Ke, No. 24-1454 (4th Cir. argued Jan. 29, 2026)
PanelAgee, Thacker & Quattlebaum, JJ.

Arguing Counsel

Panel That Day

2 of 3 cases argued January 29, 2026 before this panel have been decided.

Authorship Outlook

With the 2 decided siblings already credited to Judge Quattlebaum, the remaining opinion is most likely Judge Agee's — they wrote at least one opinion in 81 of their 112 prior multi-case days.

2 of the 3 opinions from this panel have been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Quattlebaum.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 5, 2026 and September 26, 2027, with December 28, 2026 the most likely date.

Argued 272 days ago. The case has now outlasted nearly every comparable prior case (96% of mass consumed); a separate writing or a contentious majority is likely in progress.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 9 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →