With the 3 decided siblings already credited to Judge Thacker and Judge Richardson, the remaining opinion is most likely Judge Rushing's — they wrote at least one opinion in 75 of their 109 prior multi-case days.

3 of the 4 opinions from this panel have been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Thacker and Judge Richardson.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 15, 2026 and October 23, 2028, with March 10, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 588 days ago. The case has now outlasted nearly every comparable prior case (97% of mass consumed); a separate writing or a contentious majority is likely in progress.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 6 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →