With the 3 decided siblings already credited to Judge Heytens, Judge Quattlebaum edges out Judge Agee as the likely author — though the gap between their track records is narrow.

3 of the 4 opinions from this panel have been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Heytens.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 24, 2026 and December 7, 2029, with May 21, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 950 days ago. The case has now outlasted nearly every comparable prior case (100% of mass consumed); a separate writing or a contentious majority is likely in progress.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (560 prior subject cases + 3 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →