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23-4665·CRIMINAL

United States v. Austin Lodge

Status
  1. Scheduled
  2. Argued (current)
  3. Opinion Issued
Question Presented

Whether defendant hid or abandoned personal property; should concealment and abandonment be treated differently for Fourth Amendment purposes?

Argument Date
September 10, 2025
Argument Time
9:30 a.m.
Panel
V
Courtroom
Tweed Courtroom (Room 414-D)
Lower Court Judge
Kleeh

Panel

Judge Gregory
Judge Agee
Judge Young*

Citation

CaseUnited States v. Austin Lodge, No. 23-4665 (4th Cir. argued Sept. 10, 2025)
PanelGregory, Agee & Young, JJ.

Arguing Counsel

Panel That Day

3 of 4 cases argued September 10, 2025 before this panel have been decided.

Authorship Outlook

There isn't enough historical data on Judge Young* in this dataset yet to single out a likely author; the opinion could come from any of the remaining panelists.

3 of the 4 opinions from this panel have been decided. Decided opinions have been authored by Judge Gregory and Judge Agee.

This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.

Predicted Opinion Release

Likely between November 9, 2026 and March 10, 2028, with January 26, 2027 the most likely date.

Argued 413 days ago. The case has now outlasted nearly every comparable prior case (99% of mass consumed); a separate writing or a contentious majority is likely in progress.

■ ■ ■Calibrated from a deep history (438 prior subject cases + 4 prior panel cases)

80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →