Jose Polanco-Maderos v. Todd Blanche
- Scheduled
- Argued (current)
- Opinion Issued
Whether the Board made improper factual determinations; materiality of participation in persecution; existence of duress exception to persecutor bar.
Panel
Citation
Arguing Counsel
Panel That Day
1 of 4 cases argued September 16, 2026 before this panel have been decided.
3 opinions remain pending on this panel day. The remaining opinions could come from any panelist who hasn't already been credited with a sibling.
1 of the 4 opinions from this panel has been decided.
This is a statistical guess based on prior sittings in this dataset, not a prediction of the ruling.
Predicted Opinion Release
Likely between November 5, 2026 and April 15, 2027, with December 13, 2026 the most likely date.
Argued 42 days ago. Comparable cases at this stage almost always still pending — there's no useful tightening yet.
80% predictive interval from a log-logistic accelerated-failure-time model fit on 2,134 prior decided cases plus 111 currently-pending cases as right-censored evidence. Updates as days pass with no opinion. How this is calculated →